Tuesday, January 7, 2014

EUR/NZD Daily Trade Set up_ 07th January 2014

This pair has broken the support at 1.6700 or rather showed false break above this level before reversing uptrend. I see 2 possibilities here.

Pair will retrace up to retest 1.67 before resuming downtrend. OR
Pair will break support at 1.64 to move towards 1.61. This is fast moving pair so 2nd possibility is more likely to happen.

I have placed sell limit at 1.66300 and sell stop at 1.63400.

EUR/NZD Daily 07012014


Monday, January 6, 2014

AUD/CAD Monthly Analysis Dec 2013

This pair is in downtrend on monthly after breaking long term support at 0.99400 in June 2013.

In Oct and Nov 2013 it retested the same level and rejected it which is 50% Monthly Bear FIB level.

In Dec 2013 it broke support at 0.95948 resuming its downtrend which is likely to be tested in Jan 2014.

In my opinion 0.95900 is the place to enter sell limit orders as price is expected to retest and reject this level.

Target: If we go by monthly chart

Target 1 is 100 Bear FIB Level 0.91750 and
Target 2 is 161.8 Bear FIB level 0.82100.

AUD/CAD Monthly Chart Dec 2013

Sunday, January 5, 2014

EUR/USD Weekly Analysis 6th January 2014

Eur is looking weak across all pairs. Although this pair has not broken last Low of 1.33700 yet. I'm bearish on this pair for below reasons.

Pair couldn't break past monthly resistance level @ 1.38.
Double top is created on weekly chart at 1.38 level.
Bearish breakout bar of last week clearly indicates change in direction. You can see same bearish breakout bar on EUR/GBP, EUR/AUD, EUR/NZD, EUR/CAD.

Although I'm long on this pair from 1.36100 level. I will be looking to close my longs at 1.36700 and enter short at same level for a target of 1.33800.



CAD/JPY

CAD/JPY: This pair is looking more bullish after rejection of 161.8 of Monthly Bull FIB.
The pair is likely to reach its 2nd Target of 261.8 Bull FIB at 105.

This pair has completed Break, retest and Rejection sequence of below levels which adds Confluence to its bullish Bias.

92.700
97.600

Monthly Stochastics are bullish.

Daily has created Bullish Pin Bar rejecting 21 EMA. However the pair will touch 97.400 level to hunt stops before resuming its uptrend.

I will be placing 2 pending Buy Limit orders at 30% and 70% retracement of Friday's Bullish Pin Bar.

Targets for this pair are as follows
100
105
110



Update : 7th January 2014. Price went against my initial expectation. I had placed buystop at 98.900 which didnt trigger and saved me from Drawdown trade. Price is likely to touch 94.700 level now.

Wednesday, January 1, 2014

EUR/NZD :
Bias: Bullish


EUR/AUD:



EUR/GBP : This pair looks extremely bearish at the beginning of 2014 and set for long term downtrend.

Pair is making Lower Highs and Lower Lows on Monthly
Price has rejected 50% and 61.8% of Bear FIB levels.
Shorts can be entered once price breaks and retests Support at 0.82300.